Apps as they are offered by gateways, available through places such as Apple's AppStore or Google Play, could be threatening the endless nature of the Internet as we know it.
Instead of the free Internet, there could be walled gardensthat are promoted by our own laziness to simply and consume prepared content rather than exploring the Internet on our own. That is the result of a somewhat unusual survey conducted by pew Internet and American Life Project, which included just two questions and then asked 1,021 respondents for comment.
According to the report, 35 percent of respondents agreed with the following forecast:
"In 2020, most people will prefer to use specific applications (apps) accessible by Internet connection to accomplish most online work, play, communication, and content creation. The ease of use and perceived security and quality-assurance characteristics of apps will be seen as superior when compared with the open Web. Most industry innovation and activity will be devoted to apps development and updates, and use of apps will occupy the majority of technology users' time. There will be a widespread belief that the World Wide Web is less important and useful than in the past and apps are the dominant factor in people's lives."
59 percent believed this scenario to be more likely:
"In 2020, the World Wide Web is stronger than ever in users' lives. The open Web continues to thrive and grow as a vibrant place where most people do most of their work, play, communication, and content creation. Apps accessed through iPads, Kindles, Nooks, smartphones, Droid devices, and their progeny—the online tools GigaOM referred to as "the anti-Internet"—will be useful as specialized options for a finite number of information and entertainment functions. There will be a widespread belief that, compared to apps, the Web is more important and useful and is the dominant factor in people's lives."
There is no right or wrong and there is no detailed conclusion to those questions other than that more than a third of respondents sees apps to become the dominant usage scenario of the Internet within eight years. The takeaway clearly is that an education process is taking place and consumers have begun making choices how they use Internet resources. The request for comment yielded answers that are broad and cover everything from an infinitely open web to an environment that will create "app potatoes". The hope is that HTML5 is capable enough to help evolve the Internet and keep it useful to remain attractive as an open tool.
this is not youtbe
this is not youtbe
Because development tools are moving in the absolute opposite direction of this.
Look at phoneGap. Soon every mom and pop shop will have their own mobile app and any high school kid can make their own mobile app.
Also, every single business I've run into now is 100% paranoid that the biz apps they are outsourcing contain data mining or outright information theft and as such demand to be able to see source code to ensure this is not the case.
When it comes to making mobile apps, doing it fast is what is important, so inevitably they cannot be locked down like other apps.
eg: You cannot afford to code obfuscate them properly, or your app's performance will suck.
Consumers can fight this by resisting Metro and Windows 8 and by using mobile-optimized websites instead of apps (where this is feasible).
If by any chance we see censorship based on the OS that aims to blocking of certain websites or blocking news/information critical to the company or political views than we will have a very big threat and problem. A app store though isn't anything to fuss about.
this is already happening... net neutrality was intentionally nixed on all mobile networks....
device makers don't seem to favor this... all I can think of is how the blu-ray player is becoming the bane of digital video media consumption... they want to control it to milk money out of you
Examples.
1) Lots of people, lets face it, will download a game/program for example to play/use it offline. They will not necessarily buy it right? Piracy YARRR! In 2020 you will see all people paying a subscription to a cloud service to play hd games/ use programs because it will be cheaper than upgrading a pc every 2 years..Piracy will really go minimal and i wonder how our PCs will evolve after that.
2) I am 38 years old, i have seen the internet say since 1990, in the past 20+ years internet is really getting more controlled in many aspects (not just piracy). All the "food in the table" they provide us is really misleading actually controlling our moves in the web or at least monitoring.
Facebook, chrome browser and many other examples are just some. Add the load of extra laws towards ISPs and users to control or monitor from governments...
Definitely, the internet won't be the same in 10 years and definitely it won't make us feel free and anonymous....