Super Bowl Outcome Predicted by Madden NFL 10
It's in the game.
EA Sports' Madden NFL games are sure-fire blockbuster sellers thanks to their playability and attention to detail. We know that Madden NFL games are excellent at recreating the real life sport, but can the video game simulation predict real life outcomes? If an almost-perfect track record for the Super Bowl is of any indication – the answer is yes.
The Madden NFL 10 simulation of this year's Super Bowl matchup between the Saints and Colts played out as follows:
"The first three quarters display the offensive fireworks that both teams have become known for, with the Colts leading 24-21. A nail biting fourth quarter begins with a big play, courtesy of the Saints' special teams, when Reggie Bush returns a punt for a 42-yard touchdown. However, with minutes left in the game the duo of Joseph Addai and Peyton Manning put the Colts back on top with a go-ahead touchdown pass. With the game hanging in the balance, Drew Brees hits David Thomas for an 11-yard touchdown and the game winning score."
While the events of the game weren't accurate, the outcome of the Saint's victory was reflected in the real world. This improves Madden's Super Bowl predictions record since it started in 2004 to six and one. Madden NFL has corrected simulated the championship team in every year since 2004 except for the lone error in 2008.
Would you use video game sports to guide your sports betting?
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Tom's readers are not stupid enough to watch the Super Bowl so you are wasting your breath.
Moe begins to shove the crayon back up Homer’s nose.
Homer: DEFENSE! DEFENSE!
once it's 10 to 1, i'll do it.
Its a 1v1 matchup. 50% chance of getting it right, 50% chance of getting it wrong. I could have predicted the win. Anyone wanna write an article about me?
Its a 1v1 matchup. 50% chance of getting it right, 50% chance of getting it wrong. I could have predicted the win. Anyone wanna write an article about me?Predicting 6 in a row correctly would be %1.56 odds based on purely 50/50 chance of each event ignoring all other variables. They did 5 of 6. Try again.
Predicting 6 in a row correctly would be %1.56 odds based on purely 50/50 chance of each event ignoring all other variables. They did 5 of 6. Try again.
Run the simulation a hundred thousand times for each game. Average the results. Then maybe we'll know if you've got something.
Oh, and it only matters if it helps me cover the spread.
'Correctly simulated' is I think what you were trying for in the second to last line.
next year I'm going to trust madden when i deal with my friends
Jimmy the geek would.
Yes, it's completely random. You could flip a coin six times and easily have it land on heads 5 times. If you know anything about statistics you'll realize this doesn't mean anything at all.
I would say get 30 ps3's running the same simulation, with the same stats, same parameters, everyothing being equal and compare the results.
I also have a computer program that accurately predicts sporting event outcomes, and just like EA, Ill prove it to you one day after the game.
I also have a bridge for sale.
Personally I think the results are a coincidence just like some of the odd results with random events.
Predicting 6 in a row correctly would be %1.56 odds based on purely 50/50 chance of each event ignoring all other variables. They did 5 of 6. Try again.
Flip a coin 6 times. Its not a perfect 50/50, but im pretty sure in an alternate universe, Madden 10 would predict 1/6 correct. It was all chance, nothing more.
Let's see how accurate the latest NFL2K is... oh wait... nevermind. I can't remember the last time there was actually a good Madden game. And apparently it's marketed towards 12 year old girls. Anyone who has heard the soundtrack for it knows what I'm talking about. In fact, it seems like an EA Sports theme. I played a FIFA game that actually had worse music. What happened to just normal traditional sports music or stadium tunes or at least something that fits the sport.
fuseballs I read their prediction before the game.
yeah at the same time tho EVERYBODY was saying the colts were going to win outside of new orleans i mean statistically between the two teams the colts should have won. so in a way EA took a risk at believing in their program. all they need to do now is get into the gambling business and las vegas will be known as EA City.
The chance of getting exactly 5 out of 6 right is 9.375%. The chance of getting at least 5 out of 6 right is 10.9375%
Lol, a friend and I played a game of Tecmo Super Bowl on the NES (Colts vs Saints) to try a Super Bowl prediction. We were way off, but I thought it was a good idea anyway. Forget all these fancy 3D graphics in the 21st century! Long live Bo Jackson.
Hell if I was a beting man and knew nothing of sports, i sure would try the game first to see the outcome
Tho my luck would be the one time its wrong...
Anyone else find it funny that during the pre-game commentary Shannon Sharpe quoted the punt return TD AND that the Saints would win it with an end game TD reception... Shows how much he watches football now!
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I had the Saints at 24-17. Won some money this time around