Skip to main content

Super Bowl Outcome Predicted by Madden NFL 10

EA Sports' Madden NFL games are sure-fire blockbuster sellers thanks to their playability and attention to detail. We know that Madden NFL games are excellent at recreating the real life sport, but can the video game simulation predict real life outcomes? If an almost-perfect track record for the Super Bowl is of any indication – the answer is yes.

The Madden NFL 10 simulation of this year's Super Bowl matchup between the Saints and Colts played out as follows:

"The first three quarters display the offensive fireworks that both teams have become known for, with the Colts leading 24-21. A nail biting fourth quarter begins with a big play, courtesy of the Saints' special teams, when Reggie Bush returns a punt for a 42-yard touchdown. However, with minutes left in the game the duo of Joseph Addai and Peyton Manning put the Colts back on top with a go-ahead touchdown pass. With the game hanging in the balance, Drew Brees hits David Thomas for an 11-yard touchdown and the game winning score."

While the events of the game weren't accurate, the outcome of the Saint's victory was reflected in the real world. This improves Madden's Super Bowl predictions record since it started in 2004 to six and one. Madden NFL has corrected simulated the championship team in every year since 2004 except for the lone error in 2008.

Would you use video game sports to guide your sports betting?

  • Pei-chen
    Tom's readers are not stupid enough to watch the Super Bowl so you are wasting your breath.

    Moe begins to shove the crayon back up Homer’s nose.
    Homer: DEFENSE! DEFENSE!
    Reply
  • crazymech
    once it's 10 to 1, i'll do it.
    Reply
  • aletoil
    Its a 1v1 matchup. 50% chance of getting it right, 50% chance of getting it wrong. I could have predicted the win. Anyone wanna write an article about me?
    Reply
  • JofaMang
    aletoilIts a 1v1 matchup. 50% chance of getting it right, 50% chance of getting it wrong. I could have predicted the win. Anyone wanna write an article about me?Predicting 6 in a row correctly would be %1.56 odds based on purely 50/50 chance of each event ignoring all other variables. They did 5 of 6. Try again.Predicting 6 in a row correctly would be %1.56 odds based on purely 50/50 chance of each event ignoring all other variables. They did 5 of 6. Try again.
    Reply
  • chriskrum
    Run the simulation a hundred thousand times for each game. Average the results. Then maybe we'll know if you've got something.
    Reply
  • chriskrum
    Oh, and it only matters if it helps me cover the spread.
    Reply
  • eaving
    'Correctly simulated' is I think what you were trying for in the second to last line.
    Reply
  • TheDuke
    next year I'm going to trust madden when i deal with my friends
    Reply
  • theubersmurf
    Jimmy the geek would.
    Reply
  • buzznut
    Yes, it's completely random. You could flip a coin six times and easily have it land on heads 5 times. If you know anything about statistics you'll realize this doesn't mean anything at all.

    I would say get 30 ps3's running the same simulation, with the same stats, same parameters, everyothing being equal and compare the results.
    Reply