AMD on track to report a profit for Q3
Forum CPU & Components : CPUs - AMD on track to report a profit for Q3
Just came across this bit of news, apparently AMD have found a friend in the name of "JSC Angstrem", who...you may ask. Well the article tells all, but its nice to see AMD heading in the right direction all be it with a little bit help from our Russian friends
| Quote : Remember AMD’s promise to return to profitability in the third quarter of this year? You may be wondering how this will be possible considering the fact that the company has lost money eight over the past seven quarters, including $269 million in Q2 2008, and no big bucks advances against Intel are in sight. But we are certain that AMD in fact will report a huge profit for the third quarter that may not originate from hugely increased product sales, but will create the foundation for the much anticipated announcement of AMD’s “Asset Smart”.
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Well, duh; anyone can create a profitable quarter by selling off chunks of the company. But which part are they going to sell off next quarter?
I'm no financial expert, but I'm pretty sure theres a difference between operating profit and net profit due to one time sales of company assets.
AMD is still operating in the red as far as I can tell, selling off assets will help stem the cash bleed in the short term but they still need to get back to operational profit in the long run to remain fiscally viable.
Thats true. But their margins are set to improve. The ATI branch will go into the black, and once they get into 45nm, itll help immensely. This isnt a situation where theyre hurt at all from this. Its not like theyre going to use a bunch of skt 939s and make a graphics card on old tech. This is wise, and surely helps them. And may I ask anyone opposed to that, why is this bad? As for misleading, we will see when the numbers come out. There certainly are some haters here.
Reply to jaydeejohn
yomamafor1 wrote :
|
Indeed.
The boy who cried wolf...
again, and again, and again.
May be true , may not be. The extra 400 million may show up yet. At 45nm, at least AMD has a few things going for it. Ive heard the improvements are anywheres from 7 to 12% with Deneb. Itll oc better, and the most important is, itll cost much less to fab. This allows for a lil more competition in perf, and pricing. So, if true, this may allow AMD a lil more needed time to get the real numbers into the black
Reply to jaydeejohn
In case anyone needs a hint: You generate profits by successfully selling product to end users at a price that puts cash in your own pocket. NOT by selling off chunks of your company and by playing a restructuring shell-game.
Thanks in advance for all the down ratings I'm about to get for daring to question AMD.
Reply to Scotteq
If the chunks are obsolete, then why not? Thats my point. Maybe they could somehow come up with a way to put them to good use? Any ideas?
Reply to jaydeejohn
i think they're strong w\ ati.... if etrade releases my money to use before amd stock is $6 or more i'm going to buy some...
i've already sent them a few semi-nasty emails letting them know how unhappy i am w\ them, my next is going to be asking if they're going to credit me for the price difference in the stock from my intended purchase date last week and when they are saying i can use my money (the 21's) even though the bank transaction took a few days and was complete last week.
| jaydeejohn wrote : If the chunks are obsolete, then why not? Thats my point. Maybe they could somehow come up with a way to put them to good use? Any ideas? |
If the article is to be believed at all, the answer is clear and is already a done deal: Sell it to **** people into thinking AMD actually delivered a profit.
Quote from the article, on the off chance someone chooses to not read that part because it doesn't jibe with their current views of the world: "But we are certain that AMD in fact will report a huge profit for the third quarter that may not originate from hugely increased product sales..."
Argue technology all day, if you guys want. But from a BUSINESS perspective, you have widespread layoffs in the name of cost cutting, executives leaving the company, and now they're selling off assets and claiming "profits" with the proceeds. And doing so in the face of a massive restructuring.
If anyone is investing in AMD - Watch the next quarterly very closely. Inventories had better be down. That is a sure way to tell if they're moving product. If they're up? Sell.
Message edited by Scotteq on 08-19-2008 at 02:44:09 PM
Reply to Scotteq
Thats true, every point. My responses were to comments of this as being a negative, when in fact, it is a positive. No spinning, just 400 million reasons to like this. If AMD doesnt get off their arse and make some cpus that sell, itll continue, but each and every step they take is magnified because of their current situation. If it turns out to be making 600 million dollars on selling obsolete material, all the better for them. If they dont right their ship, itll surely , eventually go down. But for now, this transaction, is good news. Win win. Layoffs, etc is bad, execs dont actually make the products, and some may have been bad for the companby and are welcome to have left. Depends how you look at it too. This is a positive, and should be seen as such. As far as profit margins, leave that up to the author, the reader, and business practices.
Reply to jaydeejohn
They have said this before. Either way I would think the bulk of their income is from their ATI division due to the 4800 series actually doing very well.

Reply to jimmysmitty
| jaydeejohn wrote : If the chunks are obsolete, then why not? |
If it's obsolete, why is someone paying hundreds of millions of dollars to buy it?
Either the buyer is stupid, or AMD could have had a continuing revenue stream by manufacturing the chips that the buyer is now going to make itself. And helping start 'a Russian version of Silicon Valley' could be really bad for AMD in the long term if it actually comes about.
Because: supply and demand. Ive got it, you want to buy it. Im already established in my market, ahead of what Im selling you, and am capable of moving forwards beyond that. Happens all the time. Punchpresses, lathes etc. CNC and some old non CNC stuff. Depends on the size of the company and their needs.
Reply to jaydeejohn
| Scotteq wrote : Argue technology all day, if you guys want. But from a BUSINESS perspective, you have widespread layoffs in the name of cost cutting, executives leaving the company, and now they're selling off assets and claiming "profits" with the proceeds. And doing so in the face of a massive restructuring. |
The layoffs were obvious. No one has left the company. The assets they're selling are no longer needed. You make it seem like the restructuring is bad.
| MarkG wrote : If it's obsolete, why is someone paying hundreds of millions of dollars to buy it? |
The equipment they are selling, from what I understand from the article, is the equipment used to make 90nm processors. Obviously they aren't going to be producing those anymore. The company that is buying the equipment will use the equipment to make chips for a completely different market. Did you even read the article?
Message edited by jeb1517 on 08-19-2008 at 04:34:27 PM
| jeb1517 wrote : The layoffs were obvious. No one has left the company. The assets they're selling are no longer needed. You make it seem like the restructuring is bad.
|
Henri Richard, Chief of Sales
Dave Orton, EVP and former CEO of ATI
Mario Rivas - EVP of Computing Products
Elke Eckstein - VP Manufacturing
Rick Hegberg - SVP Worldwide Sales
And Hector Ruiz himself also abandoned his position as CEO (remains on the Board of Directors)
and you, sir, state that nobody left. An asinine statement considering all of the above have resigned their positions at AMD in the last year.
That is hardly "Nobody"
{edit} To add:
Stephen DiFranco - Corp VP, Consumer Sales and Marketing
Phil Hester - Chief Technology Officer
Message edited by Scotteq on 08-19-2008 at 05:08:37 PM
Reply to Scotteq
Hester, Orton and Eckstein will be missed, the others no, and some good riddance.
Reply to jaydeejohn
<sigh>
Reply to Scotteq
I think the marketing from AMD has sucked for a long time. One of the most exspensive and least productive ways to sell , say a cpu, is motor sports ads. So the ads people, no problem, especially from what Ive seen with the tactics used in the coming of the 4xxx series. Didnt see that one coming eh? No, theyre more ON track than before
Reply to jaydeejohn
| epsilon84 wrote : I'm no financial expert, but I'm pretty sure theres a difference between operating profit and net profit due to one time sales of company assets.
|
AMD wold have been breakeven last quarter for operating income had they taken a smaller charge for the ATi stuff they're selling. They lost "ONLY" $269M in operating income. This quarter will see the 4000 series contribution along with Puma, which contrary to popular opinion is showing up everywhere. Then the 2.5GHz Opterons are in the wild for this quarter and those are still ahead of Intel in 4P HPC and Web and in some cases in 2P.
The biggest issue AMD has is getting OEMs to really push them. AMD can make all of the chips they want but if HP et al are lettng them "sit in the back of the warehouse" they can't sell them. I actually find it hard to believe that OEMs don't want a 2.5GHz Griffin ASAP to make gaming laptops with Hybrid XFire. Selling off the assets is a natural part of business. Do you think Intel just through away their 90nm equipment? Don't think so. More than sales it will be because the layoffs and restructuring costs less to run.
We'll see though. I think they may have a nice profit especially with 780G and HTPC. It also seems that they have canceled those $30-60 chips that weren't contributing to the bottom line. It's better to have inventory of Phenom that's worth $100+ than X2s worth under $50. If they can really evangelize the "balanced platrform" they will up sales considerably. I mean, if the GPU is more important for gaming and the IGP for BluRay (imagine someone telling you you can't play BluRay until you upgrade your BIOS and get a new version of the SW you've been using for years.) AMD is in a much better strategic position than Intel and nVidia.
But I reiterate that they should leave off this desktop race and push towards Stars-based Griffin which should get to 3GHz at 45nm. A 3GHz laptop in Q109 would change a lot. Hell, they may even be able to take 9150e, shrink it and get it into a laptop. That would be another large market. I'd love to have a low speed quad core laptop with 3850Xfire.
Can you hear me, Dirk?
| Scotteq wrote : In case anyone needs a hint: You generate profits by successfully selling product to end users at a price that puts cash in your own pocket. NOT by selling off chunks of your company and by playing a restructuring shell-game.
|
That is a natural part of business. Intel sold lots of businesses and layed off more people than AMD employs last year. They did that so that the big hole that was made with a $183 E6300 was covered until they could dump P4 and get to 45nm.
| yomamafor1 wrote : Keep em' spinning BM. |
You mean a quad core 45nm laptop is a bad thing? I wish I was running AMD sometimes. I wouldn't have dropped prices as much and would definitely have put more resources into mobile. They should take my advice and shrink Griffin with Stars cores and forget about being able to sell $1500 desktop processors that no one buys anyway (what about .2%).
If I wereto give Intel advice it would be to have left ATis chipset license and stop tying products together. What happens is that if they have a problem, where will people get chipsets or IGPs for all those CPUs? I would also have stayed out of the XO market. Intel is stretched too thin, almost like MS. Nehalem may be their Rubicon as it will require new boards, new chipsets, a whole new infrastructure. I'd also wait and drop server chips first, since if the plan backfires i7 will sit while Deneb and Penryn sell out.
And luckily, they don't listen to your advices. What a world of chaos it would be if they actually did listen to you.

Reply to yomamafor1
| yomamafor1 wrote : And luckily, they don't listen to your advices. What a world of chaos it would be if they actually did listen to you. |
Well, let's see. AMD has lost $5B and Intel has been found guilty of bad things all over the world. I guess I could have screwed em up worse than that. You're right.
^Like keeping the prices high on something that was 1. older arch (K8) and 2. did not perform as well (K8/K10)?
Sure keep the prices higher knowing that people will buy whatever is cheaper and gives the best bang for their buck. Thats a brilliant strategy.

Reply to jimmysmitty
Let me respond to you why your advices would've resulted in bigger crisis than AMD is in now.
| BaronMatrix wrote : You mean a quad core 45nm laptop is a bad thing? I wish I was running AMD sometimes. I wouldn't have dropped prices as much and would definitely have put more resources into mobile. They should take my advice and shrink Griffin with Stars cores and forget about being able to sell $1500 desktop processors that no one buys anyway (what about .2%). |
Well at the moment, Intel is the only one with a quad core mobile CPU, and that unit itself costs over 1000 USD. Aside from that, AMD's CPU would have to lower mobile Deneb's prices in order to compete aganst the mobile Yorkfield. How many people will actually spend that much money in purchasing such a high end mobile CPU? As statistics show, people are much more willing to pay for high end graphics than CPU. If that's the case, what's the point of AMD entering into the fray, commit resources in optimizing Deneb for mobile, and further divert resources from else where? It also seems that Deneb will not have the TDP to actually fit into the mobile segment. AMD would have to wait for 45nm HK/MG, or even 32nm HK/MG before attempting something like that.
I'm not sure how far you would've dropped the prices, but if at the moment performance / price is the only reason why people would select AMD over Intel. In the world where switching from one company to another means an entire makeover in your computer components, AMD's first goal is to secure a relatively safe footing in the market share; to keep AMD users from switching over to Intel. Even if they do lose money now due to extremely low prices, the platform compatibility will allow users to purchase much higher performance CPUs, with much better margin, in the case they do come out.
As for mobile, you have to realize one thing: mobile sector is Intel's playground. Intel has been dominant in the mobile sector since the launch of Centrino back in 2003. Centrino laptops have became a household name for laptop. Therefore in order for AMD to penetrate the market and establish a footing, they would not only have to commit extra resources in altering the current AMD system architecture to favor mobile platform, but also spend enough on marketing to increase the brand awareness. For a cash strapped AMD, it makes much more sense to be in a defensive position, and fortify its foothold in the server segment.
| Quote : If I wereto give Intel advice it would be to have left ATis chipset license and stop tying products together. What happens is that if they have a problem, where will people get chipsets or IGPs for all those CPUs? I would also have stayed out of the XO market. Intel is stretched too thin, almost like MS. Nehalem may be their Rubicon as it will require new boards, new chipsets, a whole new infrastructure. I'd also wait and drop server chips first, since if the plan backfires i7 will sit while Deneb and Penryn sell out. |
I'm not exactly sure about what you meant by "typing products together", but your "suggestion" of Intel leaving ATI license couldn't be more wrong. Due to the lackluster performance current AMD CPUs have, and users tendency to go for Intel's offering, by confining Crossfire technology only to AMD chipset is no doubt a suicide, just like Nvidia. AMD would lost a lot of graphics card sales just because Crossfire technology is not available on Intel chipset, which is currently the best chipset available on the market for Intel CPUs.
As for IGPs, I think you're overestimating the importance of graphics power. As statistics show, Intel currently controls about 60% of the IGP market, while AMD only controls ~15%. However everyone + dog knows that Intel's chipset sucks arse, while AMD's chipset kicks arse. Why is that?
Personally I don't understand why you have a beef with Intel entering the XO market. Intel is not stretched too thin.
Don't worry about Nehalem. It will do much better than you expect. Sure, it requires a new board, new RAM, but it also offers a lot of advantages that Penryn and Deneb cannot offer. It won't be too long before OEMs switch to GFX equipped Havendale for mainstream and low end PCs, to conserve cost by taking off redundant chipsets.
On the other hand, it would make absolutely no sense by releasing server parts first. Remember Dunnington? It has just been released this year. By releasing server Nehalem parts will only eats up the sales of those products. Oppositely, if Nehalem is released to the enthusiasts crowd first, then it may build up the hypes, which in turn helps more companies to switch to Nehalem.

Reply to yomamafor1
| yomamafor1 wrote : On the other hand, it would make absolutely no sense by releasing server parts first. Remember Dunnington? It has just been released this year. By releasing server Nehalem parts will only eats up the sales of those products. Oppositely, if Nehalem is released to the enthusiasts crowd first, then it may build up the hypes, which in turn helps more companies to switch to Nehalem. |
You know what your talking about.... NOT.
Yeah, why release the initial trickle of CPUs to the most expensive markets, where the profit margins are largest, where performance is everything, where reputations will spread quickly and be of far more value to the real decision makers in companies when you can sell for comparatively nothing to some enthusiasts?
Hmmm..... let me see....
I agree with amiga here, thats a no brainer. Also, do you have a reliable link for the TDP Deneb mobile? Im just asking, as Id like to read it. Itd suck, if true, or be put in a very limited use scenario
Reply to jaydeejohn
| yomamafor1 wrote : Let me respond to you why your advices would've resulted in bigger crisis than AMD is in now.
|
None of that explains anything. You just ramble for three paragraphs.
Intel clearly wants to own this market. The server market has been making them itch, thus the Nehalem = no great shakes for gaming/desktop. They abandoned DT for server this round. Good for the bottom line ya know. And people are ticked because AMD may show a profit? Hafta own that too? I dont care how AMD does it, if it doesnt hurt their future capacity to continue, then its fine. Would a solid, AMD sold x amount of cpus, their gpus are selling like hot cakes, are in the black as well, plus their other ventures all in the black because of marketing,innovation and coming thru look better? Sure
Message edited by jaydeejohn on 08-20-2008 at 09:41:46 PM
Reply to jaydeejohn
| BaronMatrix wrote : None of that explains anything. You just ramble for three paragraphs. |
How could you say rambling...
When you have rambled so much over time .. you have a walking stick, a pair of rambling boots and a dog called Norman for that occasion...
Talk about pot calling the kettle black.
| jaydeejohn wrote : Intel clearly wants to own this market. The server market has been making them itch, thus the Nehalem = no great shakes for gaming/desktop. They abandoned DT for server this round. Good for the bottom line ya know. And people are ticked because AMD may show a profit? Hafta own that too? I dont care how AMD does it, if it doesnt hurt their future capacity to continue, then its fine. Would a solid, AMD sold x amount of cpus, their gpus are selling like hot cakes, are in the black as well, plus their other ventures all in the black because of marketing,innovation and coming thru look better? Sure |
You still going on about gaming and such? Will you be happy when everyone just agrees with you? If Intel isnt making any major movements in gaming then neither will AMD. Its the same both ways. Only ATI and nVidia will.
No one should be getting pissed IF AMD does profit because that would be great but considering the source, who has been known to be a fanboy and wrong numerous times (i.e. reverse hyper-threading), its hard to believe it. I will believe it when AMD reports this without having to take a hit from the ATI purchase.
But here is what you ahve to remember, the market that buys the GPUs is so small that even if the ATI division was showing a profit it could in no way make up for the CPU side if the CPU side was showing loss.
Message edited by jimmysmitty on 08-20-2008 at 11:22:58 PM

Reply to jimmysmitty
FYI guys, Intel and AMD are pretty much at the bleeding edge of semiconducter manufacturing. When all that expensive FAB equipment is no longer useful for the bleeding edge, it's resold to people who don't need the newest FAB equipment out there. Just part of normal business. Intel even has their resale equipment online for would-be buyers to see http://resale.intel.com
My comment only mentioned the gpu side of AMD as a whole, meaning like 1 piston in an engine, with all working to their potential, itd be great for AMD, and would of course be ideal. I mentioned it because even tho its great to see, and experience one of those gpus, that do so well, its only 1 part thats doing this good, and from whats being implied in certain posts here, its like selling old equipment is a lousy thing to hang your hat on, when all Im saying is, it doesnt matter how AMD makes money at this point, whether Intel or AMD sell off their old tech, they still make money off it. And, like I said, itd be surely better to see all factions of AMD operating smoothly and in the black. You completely misunderstood what Ive been saying. Some people in this thread had crapped all over this, going into business semantics on the merit of having more cash, which I replied to as who cares as long as its there for AMD. It helps, and moreso down the road
Reply to jaydeejohn
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